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	<title>vantagepoint.com.sg &#187; financial crisis</title>
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		<title>Crisis Considerations</title>
		<link>http://vantagepoint.com.sg/2009/03/crisis-considerations/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Mar 2009 22:38:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>VP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Directions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[God's provision]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://vantagepoint.com.sg/?p=183</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[During times of crisis, we often ponder things from a "how does it affect me?" view. But there are bigger, eternal perspectives to take. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="articleImage"><img src="http://116.12.200.5/EVP/CrisisConsiderations580.jpg" border="0" alt="*"></span></p>
<p class=descender>
As the global financial crisis bites deeper, fears of how we will be personally affected rise to consciousness. Instinctively, we hold back on unnecessary purchases, hedge our assets and close our hearts to needs around us. Nations resort to protectionism, and individually we prepare to fight for survival. </p>
<p>Rhetoric amplified by the media escalates our fear. Reports that this recession is the worst since the Great Depression make us wonder how we will weather this downturn. Job cuts at major corporations and losses registered for the first time by industrial stalwarts like Toyota Motors stoke the fires of fear that paralyze us. Leadership changes, like at Sony Corporation, make us nervous about how we will cope even as we brace for what we have never experienced and cannot imagine.</p>
<p>In these tumultuous times, we desperately need to hear from God so we will know what to think and how to live. The story Jesus told about the Good Samaritan, the post-resurrection account of the lakeside breakfast and the best known verse in John&#8217;s Gospel provide critical considerations for us in times of crisis.</p>
<p><span class="articleImage"><img style="float:left; padding-right:10px;" src="http://116.12.200.5/EVP/CrisisConsiderations450.jpg" border="0" alt="Crisis Considerations"></span>It was in answer to an astute lawyer&#8217;s question (&#8220;What must I do to inherit eternal life?&#8221;) that Jesus told the story of the Good Samaritan which we are familiar with.<sup>1</sup> The question implies that what we do in a crisis has eternal significance. Jesus indicated that we must love God and our neighbors if we want to be embraced into God&#8217;s Presence. Desiring to &#8220;justify himself,&#8221; the lawyer asked, &#8220;Who is my neighbor?&#8221; Jesus then tells the story of a man who is stripped, beaten and robbed on the treacherous road from Jerusalem to Jericho. Two religiously correct folks familiar with God-talk and clean living turn a blind eye and deaf ear to the plight and pleas of the bloodied and bruised man, <em>choosing</em> to &#8220;pass by on the other side.&#8221; We choose what we will do long before we act. The two men feel justified to leave the bleeding person to die. But, a despised and religiously compromised Samaritan who happens along, &#8220;takes pity&#8221; on the wounded person. The Samaritan, after dressing the man?s wound, ambulances him on his donkey to a bed and breakfast, leaving enough money for care and extended stay, as well as credit for exigencies. </p>
<p>Martin Luther King, Jr. observes the considerations in the different responses to this crisis of personal danger. The religious men pondered, &#8220;What will happen to <strong><em>me</em></strong> if I help the man?&#8221; Self preservation appears justifiable in situations when personal wellbeing is threatened. The result is to abandon the bludgeoned and flee to avoid suffering a similar fate. It is easy to find justification for such response.</p>
<p>In contrast, the Samaritan asks, &#8220;What will happen to <strong><em>him </em></strong> if I <strong><em>don&#8217;t</em></strong>  help?&#8221; Compassionate responses do not need religious cloaks. Such reasoning emanates from the heart of God, and is echoed where His image is found. It leads to action deserving eternal life since such consideration originates from His Presence. &#8220;<strong><em>Do</em></strong>  this and you will live,&#8221; Jesus indicates. He concludes, &#8220;Go and <strong><em>do</em></strong>  likewise.&#8221; In every crisis of personal danger, self-preservation must give way to merciful and compassionate action. Theorizing (or theologizing) and talking alone are just not adequate. </p>
<p>In the resurrection narratives, Jesus appears to Mary Magdalene in the Garden, to His disciples cowering in fear, and to Thomas who needs physical evidence to believe that Jesus has risen from the dead. When Thomas is finally convinced, Jesus says, &#8220;Because you have seen me, you have believed; blessed are those who have not seen and yet have believed.&#8221;<sup>2</sup>  Among the appearances and miracles designed to inspire faith, there is an episode where Peter and several others go out fishing.<sup>3</sup> Laboring all night, the veteran fishermen catch nothing. Early the next morning, Jesus appears unrecognized to them and instructs, &#8220;Throw your net on the right side of the boat and you will find some fish.&#8221; When they do, they haul in the largest catch of their lives!</p>
<p>Here is a crisis of provision. Those who are competent are inclined to think that their success is the result of their ability. But, when we fail in our arena of expertise, and we don&#8217;t know how our needs will be met, we can end up depressed and anxious. Our faith depletes fast when we see a vast ocean and no fish. In those anguished moments when we have nothing to show for our labor, when our reserves are exhausted and when we cannot meet our obligations, we need the Presence of the One who creates out of nothing. When our security is based primarily on profits and assets, we lose sight of the real source of our provision. When we are in situations that require a resurrection, we need the Presence of our Resurrected Savior. He is the One who provides. He has been sustaining us even when we do not recognize His hand. </p>
<p>He always provides more than our nets can hold. That&#8217;s why self-preservation and hoarding in times of crisis are an affront to God. He is capable of sustaining His creation, more so the pinnacle of His creation. What is required is obedience. We need to follow His instructions, especially in our field of expertise. Only then will we experience abundance. </p>
<p>When God blesses it always overflows. Peter and his friends haul in a full load of big fish, all 153 of them. That&#8217;s abundance of quantity and quality. God does not give to us the way some of us give to charity. He does not dispense leftovers. When He invites us to breakfast, it&#8217;s not fast or junk food. Breakfast by the lake with Jesus involves choice fresh fish, fresh bread and a slow burning coal fire. This miracle is to inspire belief when there is no evidence in line of sight. A crisis of provision challenges our faith in God the Provider. Most of us would rather have a healthy credit or balance in our bank to believe that God provides. But faith, after all, is &#8220;being sure of what we hope for and certain of what we do not see.&#8221;<sup>4</sup>  Small wonder Jesus reminds Thomas that those who believe without tangible evidence are blessed. </p>
<p>Finally, in the mother of all crises &ndash; that of eternal destiny, John the evangelist lays out God&#8217;s strategy: &#8220;For God so loved the world that He <strong><em>gave</em></strong> His one and only Son, that whoever believes in Him shall not perish but have eternal life.&#8221;<sup>5</sup>  In the Ultimate Crisis, God modeled a resolution that serves as a template for action in all life&#8217;s crises. God gave. He did not withhold, but opened His heart and hand. Only when God gives do we have a Savior to cleanse us from sin so we can be embraced into God&#8217;s family. Without His giving, we would be damned. </p>
<p>In a crisis, it is natural for fallen humanity to withhold and to resort to self preservation. But, God gives at great personal cost so the need can be met. In the contour of every crisis, only when a resource is shared can the need be met. Usually we give only when we have surplus. But, God gives His &#8220;one and only Son.&#8221; If we are self-focused we will never share, no matter how rich we are. There is a fine line between the virtue of frugality and the perversion of accumulation. That judgment can only be made in the court of heaven and in our own hearts. But when love rules our hearts, we will unlock our resources, no matter how little we have. In giving, we reflect God. And, God never leaves us empty when we give all there is in our reserves. He promises, &#8220;Give, and it will be given to you. A good measure, pressed down, shaken together and running over, will be poured into your lap.&#8221;<sup>6</sup> Giving turns on the tap of supply. It is more difficult to see that in an economic recession. Faith is required to experience God&#8217;s Provision in good times as well as in lean seasons. When we live the miracle of God&#8217;s generous blessings, it will be quite natural to follow God&#8217;s actions in the face of needs around us. And, God&#8217;s Presence will be evident in the darkest of human experiences. As the dark clouds of economic storms gather, let&#8217;s ponder hard on these considerations that have eternal consequences. Don&#8217;t waste a crisis!<img style="vertical-align: baseline;" src="http://www.vantagepoint.com.sg/images/VPlogo.gif" border="0" alt="VantagePoint"> </p>
<p>1. Luke 10:25-37<br />
2. John 20:29<br />
3. John 21:1-14<br />
4. Hebrews 11:1<br />
5. John 3:16<br />
6. Luke 6:38</p>
<p><i>Peter Chao is the Founder-President of Eagles Communications.<br />
</i></p>
<p>The New International Version of the Bible has been referenced.</p>
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		<title>Wipe Out, Bail Out &#8211; Where&#8217;s The Way Out?</title>
		<link>http://vantagepoint.com.sg/2009/03/wipe-out-bail-out-wheres-the-way-out/</link>
		<comments>http://vantagepoint.com.sg/2009/03/wipe-out-bail-out-wheres-the-way-out/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Mar 2009 21:34:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>VP</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Interviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Leadership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic downturn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[leadership wisdom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://vantagepoint.com.sg/?p=180</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the face of extreme fear and panic, when the foundation that you have depended upon crumbles and God seems absent, how do you exercise faith? Mr Ngiam Tong Dow, Former Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Finance, Singapore, and Dr Stephen Riady, President of The Lippo Group, share their views.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="articleImage"><img src="http://116.12.200.5/EVP/WipeOut580.jpg" border="0" alt="Wipe Out, Bail Out - Where's the Way Out? "></span></p>
<p class="text">
<span class="headblue">Share with us how you came to know God.</span></p>
<p><strong>Ngiam Tong Dow (N)</strong>: My father died when I was 10. My mother was left to raise five of us children single-handedly. I was the eldest and I had just entered primary one of the English medium school. By the grace of God, our neighbors were an Indian Christian family, the Pauls. The eldest daughter taught me to read, speak, and write English. Mrs Paul persuaded me to stay in school and sit for the university entrance exam. If they had not been my neighbors, my life would have been totally different. They gave me an invaluable start in life. </p>
<p>Thirty years passed before I accepted Christ. I was torn between love for my dead parents whose memory I cherished, and love for the Lord. As the eldest son of a traditional Chinese family, it was my duty to attend to the family altar. At dawn each day, I would light up three joss sticks and pray to my parents. My wife, Janet, born in a Christian family bore patiently the burden of this ritual of her husband. She knew that one day the Lord would speak to me. That day was Maundy Thursday, 1984, in the candlelight of the night service, I saw my son&#8217;s face glowing with faith. The thought flashed across my mind: Believe and you shall see. All at once the scales fell from my mind&#8217;s eyes. I could see the hand of the Lord at each stage of my life. </p>
<p><strong>Stephen Riady (R)</strong>: My whole family converted to Christianity between the 1980s and 1990s. I was the last one to convert in 1992. Since my graduation from university, my life had been quite smooth. My family members kept persuading me to convert. It was very difficult for me. Those days I lived in Hong Kong while my parents lived in Jakarta. They&#8217;d come to visit me monthly. My mother repeatedly asked me to go to church or to meet with some Christian friends or pastors. I obeyed but remained unconvinced. I thought that my mother was still a bit superstitious. Every time she heard that I made good money by selling buildings, she did not thank or praise me. Instead, she would say that &#8220;it is not you but God giving to you.&#8221; That was hard for me to accept for many years. My father wanted me to become a Christian so that I could balance the money and the influence that I have. </p>
<p>After I accepted Christ, I gradually experienced change. I&#8217;ve been a Christian for 16 years and I can testify that I lead a more balanced life between two laws. One is business law and the other is spiritual law. The business law means profit center &ndash; making money, which is for selfish reasons. My faith, which is in the spiritual law, is Christ centered where you find the purpose of life is to know God and to grow in Christ and to depend and trust Him. This is a good balance which I gradually learned. </p>
<p><span class="headblue">What are your thoughts on the current global financial crisis?</span></p>
<p><strong>N</strong>: The present financial crisis is man-made. As an economist, I&#8217;ll describe it this way: this whole thing began because there was too much liquidity and the bankers then became careless and loaned out a lot of money. They found a way of passing the risk to the people. Since it is a man-made problem, man has to unravel it. Now all the government has to do is to guarantee bank deposits and allow the economic system to make its way out of the recession. So I&#8217;m quite unsure about all these bailouts of banks. The real economy may slow down for a while. And as economists, we all know that when interest rates fall, and wages fall, the rate of return on capital would be higher. So entrepreneurs will go back and invest and re-appropriate. And the whole cycle will start over again. </p>
<p>If you read the Keynesian theory of employment, it is very simple. Keynes told the governments of his day, &#8220;Don&#8217;t be ashamed to run a little budget to facilitate.&#8221; So by putting in a little liquidity, the idling economic machinery could be re-started.</p>
<p><strong>R</strong>: I think as Christians, we should know what the purpose of life is. The Bible tells us that the purpose of life is to know Christ and to grow in Him. So our purpose here is not just to make money. We want to glorify Him. And the way to do this is through our daily life, our experiences in family, business, and so on. Life is about transformation and we have to change. And people fear change. Nowadays, we talk about the global financial crisis. But we also have other uncertainties in life too. There is a lot of fear. I think God allowed this so that we can be transformed through all these crisis experiences. </p>
<p>It is good as Christians when we see all these crises and difficulties that we learn to adapt to change. My father taught me this Chinese saying that &#8220;whatever you take up, you must also be prepared to let go.&#8221; In the book of Philippians, Paul says he has learned a secret &ndash; he knows how to abound and to abase.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><span class="headblue">In the current situation, what are the factors that create frenzy, panic, and fear?</span></p>
<p><strong>N</strong>: To quote Alan Greenspan, it is the &#8220;market&#8217;s irrational exuberance.&#8221; It is irrational fear. However, I have faith in the laws of economics. The wheels of the economic laws might grind slowly but they grind inexorably. So you must let the whole thing work itself out. If you panic and sell your shares, you are already realizing a loss but the real economy still exists. The hotels, airports, and hospitals will still operate and farmers will still farm. So what has changed is monetary value. The real economy will start all over again. But what really surprised me this time as an economist is that banks are refusing to lend to each other. That is very irrational. If the banks do not trust each other, how can we trust the banks? I think nevertheless that the real economy, after the fever has been purged, will start humming again. That is my conviction as an economist. </p>
<p><strong>R</strong>: What people fear most is losing money. I had that fear of becoming poor in the 1998 Asian financial crisis. At that time, we had a currency collapse and many banks collapsed on top of stock markets. We owned a bank in Indonesia at that time, and every week we heard of other banks collapsing. We were wondering when ours would collapse as people totally had no trust in the banking system. However, if we had faith in our bank, we should then fully support it. That was when we withdrew all our cash from other banks to be put into our bank. My father said we should go this way. To him, trust is more important. That was a very big struggle. What if after we had put all our money in our bank, it would still collapse and all our businesses would be ruined? That was my experience and my biggest fear at that time. What would happen if we became poor and so on? My fear at that time was more severe than what we are experiencing now. But in a way I have gained experience. Some Christians say that these crises are created by God and others say by the enemy. I realize we cannot blame God or the enemy. We have to blame ourselves. It is the fallen human nature &ndash; without God, we will make wrong decisions. There is too much greed and over confidence. That&#8217;s why so many people make wrong decisions and create so many kinds of crises. We must learn to be responsible. </p>
<p> <br />
<span class="headblue">Where does faith come in during this financial crisis?</span></p>
<p><strong>N</strong>: Let me begin by going back to 1961, when Singapore just had self-government and we had to be responsible for ourselves. During that time, the unemployment rate was over 10%. The government decided to do something about it. We chose a straight and narrow road of creating employment &ndash; anything that could give us a job. If you choose the straight and narrow path to solve the problem, more than likely God will be with you. But if you choose the easy option &ndash; the low road, I think it will lead you to a lot of grief. That is my Christian conviction. </p>
<p><strong>R</strong>: Well, when the crisis happened, it forced me to pray more. I turned to God and became closer to Him. And faith really comes by reading the Word and of course praying. So I think it is good that we have more time for God. In the end, we learn from experience. On top of experience, we spend more time with God and draw closer to Him. </p>
<p>There is a difference between Christians and non-Christians. We all suffer and face the same financial crisis. The difference is that non-Christians suffer both outwardly and inwardly. For Christians, we may suffer outwardly but inwardly we can still have joy and peace. That is the difference. God&#8217;s Word promises that the Heavenly Father will look after His children. Non-Christians don&#8217;t have such promises to turn to. </p>
<p> <br />
<span class="headblue">How do you distinguish between faith and presumption? </span></p>
<p><strong>R</strong>: There is a difference between testing and temptation. Temptation is when we want to find an easy way and later we will have problems. Testing is different. It is from God and usually it comes in the form of difficult times, hard work, and so on. That is why when we face a problem or crisis, testing and temptation come at the same time. It has to do with our mindset. We keep thinking: can we find an easy way? What is the quickest way to solve something? Very often, the quick way is not the right way. It may look good at first but it will give us problems later. We have to keep learning and improving ourselves because our environment is constantly changing. </p>
<p><strong>N</strong>: Presumption is when you build castles in the air and then pray to the Lord to finish them for you. Whatever you do, you have got to look at the economics and check against reality. The other day, I was glad to see the report about a very good analyst who went around checking to see the number of people frequenting restaurants and concerts to understand the economy. One has got to check against reality in economic analysis.</p>
<p><strong>R</strong>: I agree with Mr Ngiam. While we have faith, I think we need to do business based on facts. People in the old days might not have had enough facts but today, people have so many facts, statistics, and figures to produce good analysis work. In the early days, people may have relied on gut feelings, which can sometimes be right, or sometimes be wrong. My father did that. But I think today&#8217;s environment for doing business is different. We have to look at demand and supply, consumer behavior, purchasing power, and so on. We need to have the faith but we also need the facts, rather than relying solely on emotions. </p>
<p> <br />
<span class="headblue">What advice would you give to somebody who is completely wiped out this time around?</span></p>
<p><strong>N</strong>: It&#8217;s a very tough question. We hope the economy will grow very strongly. But we have to tighten our belts and not raise our expectations too high. We have got to live within our means so that when bad times come, it will not be so catastrophic. We will then have the resilience to retreat, withdraw, and live to fight another day. </p>
<p><strong>R</strong>: We have to see that we have made a lot of wrong decisions and not blame God or others. But we have to learn and repent of our greed, over-confidence, and stubbornness. This crisis can be a blessing in disguise. It depends on how old you are; if you are in your 20s, you are still so young, it is good that you see the problem in your early age and learn. And for the older businessmen, I would also give a reason to be hopeful; it is a cycle &ndash; there are always ups and downs, and there is no eternal up or down. If you talk about the US economic cycle, it is always between nine to twelve years. So don&#8217;t give up hope and be open, look for more opportunities. I happened to meet someone who had lost a lot of money. He is from the US and he came to Singapore to look for business, to meet potential clients. He said he knows he is almost bankrupt but he has the talent and technology. So I advised him to go ahead and talk to potential clients. After understanding the facts, he can then find partners and convince banks. People think that they must look at the money first but I think you need to look at the opportunities and potential first.<img src="http://www.vantagepoint.com.sg/images/VPlogo.gif" border="0" alt="VantagePoint"> </p>
<p><i>Mr Ngiam Tong Dow has served as Permanent Secretary in the Singapore Prime Minister&#8217;s Office, Ministries of Finance, Trade and Industry, Communications and National Development. He also chaired the Singapore Economic Development Board, Central Provident Fund Board and Housing Development Board; and corporations such as the Development Bank of Singapore and was predecessor of Singapore Technologies Holdings. Currently he is an independent director of Singapore Press Holdings, United Overseas Bank and Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd while running a private consultancy in development economics.</p>
<p>Dr Stephen Riady is President of The Lippo Group of Companies with US$8 billion in assets. Among his many directorships, he is Executive Director of Overseas Union Enterprise Limited and Auric Pacific Group Limited. He graduated from the University of Southern California, and holds a Master&#8217;s Degree of Business Administration from Golden Gate University, USA, an Honorary Degree of Doctor of Business Administration from Napier University, UK, and an Honorary University Fellowship from Hong Kong Baptist University. <br /> <br />
</i></p>
<p>The 5th CEO Forum on <em>Christian CEOs In A Corrupt Environment</em> with Mr Eddy Chieng and Dr Chatree Duangnet will be held on May 23, 2009, at The Fullerton Hotel, Singapore. For more information, please go to <a href="http://www.leadership.com.sg/ECF_Upcoming.html" target="_blank">www.leadership.com.sg/ECF_Upcoming.html.</a></p>
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